Nats Dodge Bullet, Lose Chapman Sweepstakes

Take in from someone who had to follow Ariel Prieto... Cuban defectors rarely pan out, and never reach expectations. I think it has something to do with the word "defect" that gets everybody all wound up. Because the player is defecting, everyone acts like it is a one shot deal, neglecting the fact that the player is not a "once-in-a-lifetime" talent. Had Ardolis Chapman played the last three years at an NCAA power, would he be considered "The best collegiate pitcher ever?" Possibly, but unlikely. However, the Nationals already signed that guy. Why risk putting another 30 million into an unproven commodity who is likely to fold under the pressure and riches of major league baseball.

It was a good move to pursue and make a fair offer that wouldn't hinder the the club in signing free agents and draft picks this year, but unless there was proof he could contribute to the club in 2010 and 2011, it was best to pass on Chapman and focus on getting a sure solution in the middle infield and scouting the amateur draft field.