Moving out: Michigan State, Iowa State, Dayton, Monmouth, Arizona
- Villanova
- Duke
- UCLA
- Kentucky
- Louisville
- Gonzaga
- Wisconsin
- Indiana
- Kansas
- North Carolina
- Baylor
- Creighton
- West Virginia
- Virginia
- Butler
- Purdue
- Saint Mary’s, CA
- Xavier
- South Carolina
- Wichita State
- Cincinnati
- Miami, FL
- Oregon
- UNC Wilmington
- Texas Christian
Moving in: Baylor, Butler, South Carolina, UNCW, TCU
How are they out: The other USC, Notre Dame, Ohio State, Florida, Middle Tennessee State
People take polls so god damn personally that it is a futile exercise I almost prefer not to do. I try not to let head to head results dictate "what I actually think" and "who I perceive to be best." Anything can happen in 40 minutes, and it is nuts to think that just because Team X beat Team Y, particularly on their home floor, that result defines those two teams.
That said, I gave UCLA the juice bump because that was one of the most complete games you will, and may have seen, like ever. Indian gets the nudge over UNC, despite the game taking place in Bloomington, though that is a tenuous position given the injuries. UVA drops behind WVU. Baylor continues to take on everyone and win.
I went with UNCW over MTSU because I think their style will equate to more wins over better competition. I expect the Seahawks to dump a few CAA game to inferior competition when the shots do not fall, while the Raiders methodically dismember Conference USA. Come tourney time, though, I think UNCW has a better chance to run through to an autobid, while MTSU is stuck fighting ODU, UAB, Marshall, and Charlotte.
No excuses for the teams moving out of the polls. They have all lost winnable games and at times looked disorganized enough to question their talent level, question being the operative word, not disprove.
Notre Dame and Southern Cal... well, what can I say. I honestly have yet to see USC play yet, and the Irish swept the Legends in NY in unconvincing fashion.
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