The PAC12 is a disaster. Arizona, USC, and UCLA looked to be frontrunners, but who knows where the investigation leads, and how China expedites their legal process, which I can only imagine to be like Brokedown Palace. Cal is bankrupt, Oregon is embroiled in its moral and ethical quandries, and every school north of the 44 degree parallel sucks. Arizona has the depth to prevail, but my guess is that the investigation breaks Miller before the postseason. If so, the PAC12 is wide open.
ACC is messy, but the teams currently involved were outside the "lock" status. Miami and Louisville had tourney potential, but will likely be just impacted enough to tumble to the middle of the ACC standings, with self sanctioning a bargaining chip. Not quite as high on Duke's likely outcome versus the "upside" outcome. Notre Dame is flying under the radar despite being sound, deep, and experienced. They have a better shot at an ACC title, while Duke could go all the way if they peak at the right time.
The state of Alabama shot itself in the foot big time. Auburn looked close to a contender last year, while Alabama pulled a few upsets to remain in the selection discussion until the SEC tourney. Both are already in the midst of damage control, and I can't see Pearl lasting through Christmas. Florida and Kentucky are the class of a flat conference again. Media is high on Missouri because of the Porter effect, but both Fultz and Simmons played for the draft, not necessarily for the postseason. I can see the Tigers getting off to a fast start and fizzling once NBA scout confirm his draft status.
The Shockers are jumping to the AAC, which will put a strain on their typical road dominance. Cinci didn't lose enough to warrant overlooking (SMU did) so I think that chip on their shoulder will be enough to win the league while everyone prematurely puts WSU in the Final Four. UConn could be the wild card again.
Venue issues will change the fortunes of both Villanova and DePaul. While the Wildcats are basically playing neutral or road all season, DePaul finally has new digs of their own near campus. The edge goes to Xavier and Seton Hall to play up that advantage, while DePaul could finally be trending out of the cellar.
Oklahoma State should plummet back to early, while the Dixon effect has taken root at TCU. Kansas hopefully exhibits a less ambiguous standard toward moral turpitude on the roster. Over the years, Self has never worn the same stink of other embattled coaches. I doubt there is any dirt there, but come on, show some discipline.
I have nothing to say about the Big Ten, other than they were very overrated in the seedings last year, and the overall talent seems to have slipped, though little Pitino has a sleeping giant.
Mike Rhodes could keep VCU's stream open, but the Rams have been good for 13 years now. Typically the bubble bursts on mid-majors and someone has to rebuild from scratch, but that doesn't seem to be the case here. Ironically, the man who broke their drought, Anthony Grant, will be presiding over continuity at Dayton. The Bonnies and Rams have the best 5's in the conference, and without much competition, they won't need the depth to win.