Tuesday, January 16, 2018

16 JAN Bracket

Welcome to the party Missouri and Western Kentucky!  Marquette and Providence play hopscotch between the 9-11 seed lines, while UCLA looks to be buried until the win in their 3 game run through USC, ASU, and UoA, and a road win @ Oregon would be huge.  BYU has become the little train that just couldn't, tanking to Pacific and making it an uphill climb the rest of the way.

Really not much to discuss at the Top... the Big 12 cannibalized itself to get off the 1 line.  Not sure how UNC jumped back to the 2, but they have a chance to make a statement against Clemson.

Last 5 in are Boise, SMU, Texas, WKU, and Providence.  The Bonnie are sinking but I'm holding them on the autobid line.  WKU and MTSU are almost identical by the numbers, so maybe Conference USA sneaks a second team in Dance.  UAB and ODU would be competitive in bigger conferences and could easily make a run, though it looks like Louisiana Tech has been done in by injuries.

Baylor, Marquette, USC, Houston, and Florida State are safe for now, but all are only a rough patch away from the NIT.  Texas A&M is straddling the band saw as well, but their injury woes have been addressed and they have a nice 4 game stretch to put up some conference wins before heading to Kansas.  URI grades out as a 7, Nevada as a 6 but were shifted back to adjust for oversaturation of power 6 teams.

First 5 Out: Maryland (injuries), Alabama (surprisingly brutal schedule), KSU (nothing to note), Syracuse (terrible schedule balance), and New Mexico State (won't have enough for an at-large, though they already beat GCU, so maybe they probably will take the autobid).

Next 5 Hanging Around: Virginia Tech, UCLA, San Diego State, BYU, LSU.  Minnesota just clobbered Penn State, but they have a lot of ground to cover to get back into the mix.  NC State and BC have the Duke wins which will help if they end up in the top half of the ACC (doubtful). East Tennessee and Buffalo are feisty Mid-majors, but Vermont is unlikely to press the Top 50 this year without Anthony Lamb.

Big 12: 7
Big East: 7
ACC: 7
SEC: 7
AAC: 4
Big Ten: 4
Pac-12: 3
C-USA: 2
MWC: 2
A-10: 2
WCC: 2
21 One Bid Leagues

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