Mid American
Summary: This is a peculiar conference where no team is
truly bad (Miami is better than expected) and no team is an NCAA lock (Ohio
played a terrible schedule and still lost 3 games). Right now, I have the winner here in line
behind Arlington, Chattanooga, Fort Wayne, Belmont, Harvard, and Valpo. Sure, because there are not many bad
wins/losses in the conference slate, maybe they can regress to the mean, but
the MAC winner is the last 14 seed today, possibly 15 depending how the regions
shake out. The Big MAC has fallen on
hard times. Its lone Top 100 win was
Kent over Texas, and that win looks worse every time Texas plays.
What I got wrong: It will be hard to say with the division
format, but I missed on Eastern Michigan and Akron… then again, the middle of
the conference is so mediocre, there really isn’t much separating 3rd
from 10th. Northern Illinois
is dreadful offensively; Marshawn Wilson isn’t a major contributor, but it can’t
be a coincidence they bombed two easy home games with him out of the lineup.
Prognosis: Buffalo looks to be trending downward. Maybe they pull things together, but my guess
is that Akron, Toledo, and EMU lap them to take a crack at the Bobcats. I don’t think WMU is as bad as their record
indicates.
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MAC
|
Preseason
|
Realtime
|
|
1
|
Ohio
|
Ohio
|
|
2
|
Buffalo
|
Toledo
|
|
3
|
Toledo
|
Akron
|
|
4
|
Northern
Illinois
|
Eastern
Michigan
|
|
5
|
Central
Michigan
|
Buffalo
|
|
6
|
Akron
|
Central
Michigan
|
|
7
|
Eastern
Michigan
|
Kent
State
|
|
8
|
Bowling
Green
|
Northern
Illinois
|
|
9
|
Western
Michigan
|
Western
Michigan
|
|
10
|
Kent
State
|
Bowling
Green
|
|
11
|
Ball
State
|
Ball
State
|
|
12
|
Miami
|
Miami
|
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